Risk Analysis (-)
This is a list composing of stocks that may have potential downswings based on their historical data. For the counter-report of "less riskier" stocks that may have potential upswings, check the Risk Analysis (Low Risk) page.
The ASTRA X Risk Report ranks the stocks with the best risk (potential gain vs Loss) outcome. This compares the short-term to long-term X-highs and X-lows against current X-price. It then compares the potential earnings one can get (if the price goes back to the highest value for the term) against the potential loss (if it falls to its lowest price for that term). Imagine if an investment will either give you 150% potential gain or a 50% potential loss on your investment. Assuming all odds are equal, should you go for it?
Every decision we make has risks and reward, and by reward it can be that you risked too much only to get a reward of "little to nothing".
This report gives you an idea of what stocks will have the worst potential downswings based on its historical data.
To simplify how this works, imagine a stock trading sideways. for a certain period, it goes up and down to its resistance and support levels.
Now! we have determined that the stock's highest average value is at 100 pesos and its lowest is at 50 pesos for this duration.
If the stock is now at 95 pesos... should you buy? remember that you have a chance to be rewarded by 5 pesos for that smart investment... :D
Should you go all-in? or does the potential of losing +40% of your investment freaks you out?
Note that we are not saying these are bad stocks and only serves as warning that you should have done your own research before investing into these.
As this report utilizes highs and lows, there is a chance that the values can be skewed by sudden spikes in prices for a term. It also does not take trade volume and value into consideration so while some may appear to have high gain potential, having no demand for these stocks makes it unattractive. Thus it is best to also check these stocks against other reports such as its liquidity/popularity with the Average Trade Value Report
Top 100 High Risk stocks
Note: Currently sorted by 20 Day X-Price Value. Phase 2 of this project will have the 65 Day average which shows a longer 3-month data range
| # | STOCK | LAST | X | 5DXRANGE | 20DXRANGE | 5DRISK | 20DRISK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAF | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 - 0.67 | 0.0 - 0.68 | 0.0% | -98.507% | |
| KEP | 16.86 | 16.697 | 15.95 - 16.702 | 6.36 - 16.702 | -4.442% | -61.879% | |
| RCI | 2.1 | 2.036 | 1.841 - 2.308 | 0.581 - 2.484 | 3.807% | -49.447% | |
| EAGLE | 21.65 | 21.654 | 14.717 - 21.654 | 12.142 - 21.654 | -32.038% | -43.929% | |
| LR | 2.27 | 2.449 | 1.535 - 2.569 | 1.328 - 2.569 | -32.426% | -40.898% | |
| KPHB | 13.0 | 13.0 | 12.917 - 13.0 | 7.454 - 14.12 | -0.641% | -34.045% | |
| VUL | 1.24 | 1.24 | 1.24 - 1.24 | 0.818 - 1.245 | 0.0% | -33.602% | |
| STI | 0.88 | 0.88 | 0.76 - 0.88 | 0.613 - 0.88 | -13.636% | -30.303% | |
| SSI | 4.26 | 4.234 | 3.744 - 4.234 | 2.968 - 4.234 | -11.573% | -29.896% | |
| PRC | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 - 7.0 | 4.98 - 7.0 | 0.0% | -28.857% | |
| ARA | 1.06 | 1.055 | 0.864 - 1.061 | 0.758 - 1.061 | -17.536% | -27.567% | |
| ACEX | 15.14 | 15.072 | 12.6 - 15.072 | 7.941 - 18.285 | -16.399% | -25.992% | |
| IDC | 0.9 | 0.899 | 0.835 - 0.899 | 0.683 - 0.899 | -7.136% | -24.096% | |
| KPH | 12.2 | 12.158 | 12.02 - 13.045 | 6.9 - 14.507 | 6.155% | -23.934% | |
| MHC | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 - 0.171 | 0.127 - 0.172 | 0.588% | -23.872% | |
| APX | 3.36 | 3.296 | 2.89 - 3.296 | 2.555 - 3.296 | -12.314% | -22.478% | |
| IMP | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.575 - 0.67 | 0.52 - 0.67 | -14.179% | -22.388% | |
| MWC | 24.2 | 23.763 | 20.975 - 23.763 | 18.507 - 23.763 | -11.731% | -22.118% | |
| AT | 4.32 | 4.307 | 4.006 - 4.307 | 3.379 - 4.307 | -6.985% | -21.536% | |
| NI | 0.62 | 0.6 | 0.55 - 0.62 | 0.455 - 0.62 | -5.0% | -20.833% | |
| SGP | 9.49 | 9.468 | 9.26 - 9.734 | 7.48 - 9.734 | 0.625% | -18.176% | |
| MED | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.107 - 0.145 | 0.107 - 0.148 | -20.0% | -17.857% | |
| PRIM | 3.8 | 3.749 | 3.739 - 4.369 | 2.476 - 4.369 | 16.27% | -17.426% | |
| FJP | 2.16 | 2.16 | 2.16 - 2.16 | 1.73 - 2.23 | 0.0% | -16.667% | |
| DWC | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 - 1.4 | 1.177 - 1.4 | -7.143% | -15.952% | |
| FNI | 1.88 | 1.807 | 1.605 - 1.807 | 1.519 - 1.818 | -11.162% | -15.314% | |
| MBT | 70.0 | 69.954 | 65.842 - 70.0 | 59.317 - 70.0 | -5.813% | -15.141% | |
| WIN | 0.27 | 0.276 | 0.265 - 0.276 | 0.24 - 0.276 | -4.072% | -13.122% | |
| ATNB | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.39 - 0.4 | 0.325 - 0.423 | -2.5% | -13.021% | |
| BKR | 1.32 | 1.303 | 1.238 - 1.33 | 1.078 - 1.363 | -2.941% | -12.724% | |
| CNVRG | 9.53 | 9.524 | 9.207 - 9.524 | 8.421 - 9.527 | -3.334% | -11.558% | |
| SLF | 2.95K | 2.95K | 2.734K - 2.95K | 2.56K - 3.0K | -7.322% | -11.525% | |
| OPMB | 0.009 | 0.009 | 0.009 - 0.009 | 0.008 - 0.009 | 0.0% | -11.111% | |
| FEU | 629.5 | 629.5 | 560.5 - 629.5 | 560.0 - 629.5 | -10.961% | -11.041% | |
| COAL | 0.148 | 0.148 | 0.125 - 0.15 | 0.122 - 0.158 | -14.358% | -10.586% | |
| CEU | 9.48 | 9.48 | 8.597 - 9.48 | 8.05 - 9.917 | -9.318% | -10.478% | |
| ABG | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 - 4.48 | 3.1 - 4.492 | 12.0% | -10.208% | |
| APO | 0.445 | 0.445 | 0.43 - 0.445 | 0.4 - 0.445 | -3.371% | -10.112% | |
| CHIB | 38.8 | 38.767 | 36.829 - 38.767 | 35.167 - 38.767 | -4.998% | -9.286% | |
| SUN | 0.94 | 0.913 | 0.86 - 0.944 | 0.8 - 0.944 | -2.463% | -9.033% | |
| SPC | 9.36 | 9.374 | 8.968 - 9.618 | 8.289 - 9.618 | -1.725% | -8.97% | |
| IRC | 1.0 | 1.011 | 0.89 - 1.055 | 0.882 - 1.055 | -7.584% | -8.409% | |
| MFC | 1.25K | 1.25K | 1.15K - 1.25K | 1.1K - 1.295K | -8.0% | -8.4% | |
| JOH | 5.69 | 5.69 | 5.05 - 5.69 | 5.05 - 5.86 | -11.248% | -8.26% | |
| AUB | 41.5 | 41.292 | 38.888 - 41.292 | 38.0 - 41.292 | -5.822% | -7.972% | |
| ION | 1.18 | 1.204 | 1.165 - 1.204 | 1.073 - 1.239 | -3.253% | -7.959% | |
| BPI | 123.7 | 124.358 | 116.908 - 124.45 | 114.825 - 124.45 | -5.917% | -7.592% | |
| CROWN | 1.89 | 1.89 | 1.813 - 1.893 | 1.73 - 1.908 | -3.968% | -7.496% | |
| DMW | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.0 - 5.69 | 5.0 - 5.79 | -9.107% | -7.321% | |
| EVER | 0.255 | 0.265 | 0.259 - 0.272 | 0.24 - 0.272 | 0.473% | -6.519% | |
| FLI | 0.71 | 0.708 | 0.666 - 0.708 | 0.666 - 0.708 | -6.0% | -6.0% | |
| HVN | 1.08K | 1.08K | 1.072K - 1.08K | 1.016K - 1.08K | -0.772% | -5.941% | |
| LMG | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.34 - 0.34 | 0.25 - 0.41 | 0.0% | -5.882% | |
| MPI | 5.18 | 5.18 | 5.18 - 5.18 | 4.877 - 5.183 | 0.0% | -5.792% | |
| KPPI | 1.96 | 1.96 | 1.96 - 2.48 | 1.329 - 2.48 | 26.531% | -5.655% | |
| FRUIT | 1.1 | 1.113 | 1.088 - 1.157 | 1.009 - 1.157 | 1.572% | -5.464% | |
| MA | 0.005 | 0.005 | 0.005 - 0.005 | 0.005 - 0.005 | -3.015% | -5.367% | |
| OM | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.228 - 0.24 | 0.228 - 0.24 | -5.0% | -5.0% | |
| EEI | 5.4 | 5.346 | 4.956 - 5.498 | 4.932 - 5.498 | -4.458% | -4.91% | |
| RLC | 14.62 | 14.732 | 14.732 - 14.963 | 13.79 - 14.963 | 1.573% | -4.82% | |
| TFC | 48.0 | 48.0 | 44.729 - 48.0 | 44.729 - 49.0 | -6.814% | -4.731% | |
| MG | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 - 0.116 | 0.09 - 0.125 | 5.455% | -4.545% | |
| ICT | 329.6 | 329.633 | 315.867 - 330.733 | 312.0 - 332.5 | -3.843% | -4.48% | |
| TEL | 1.27K | 1.28K | 1.267K - 1.296K | 1.208K - 1.296K | 0.287% | -4.369% | |
| BRN | 0.63 | 0.63 | 0.567 - 0.63 | 0.567 - 0.67 | -10.053% | -3.704% | |
| ALHI | 5.0 | 5.25 | 4.316 - 5.99 | 4.316 - 6.0 | -3.698% | -3.508% | |
| ACEN | 3.68 | 3.582 | 3.181 - 3.582 | 3.181 - 3.868 | -11.191% | -3.211% | |
| FDC | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.51 - 5.79 | 5.488 - 5.796 | -1.754% | -2.047% | |
| PMPC | 5.44 | 5.352 | 5.241 - 5.473 | 5.099 - 5.5 | 0.202% | -1.946% | |
| MWIDE | 5.1 | 5.123 | 5.118 - 5.183 | 4.914 - 5.234 | 1.09% | -1.887% | |
| ORE | 0.62 | 0.62 | 0.57 - 0.62 | 0.57 - 0.658 | -8.065% | -1.882% | |
| PX | 2.85 | 2.818 | 2.818 - 2.918 | 2.605 - 2.984 | 3.548% | -1.685% | |
| CIC | 11.78 | 11.788 | 11.552 - 11.788 | 11.3 - 12.1 | -2.008% | -1.499% | |
| PSE | 188.9 | 190.858 | 188.717 - 192.7 | 186.433 - 192.7 | -0.157% | -1.354% | |
| SEVN | 81.5 | 80.729 | 79.721 - 82.167 | 77.417 - 83.0 | 0.532% | -1.29% | |
| WLCON | 22.0 | 21.892 | 21.892 - 22.292 | 20.754 - 22.767 | 1.827% | -1.199% | |
| AXLM | 2.25 | 2.263 | 2.258 - 2.3 | 2.155 - 2.345 | 1.473% | -1.105% | |
| VMC | 2.8 | 2.804 | 2.78 - 2.96 | 2.604 - 2.98 | 4.695% | -0.862% | |
| PAX | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.19 - 1.2 | 1.19 - 1.2 | -0.833% | -0.833% | |
| PLC | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0.81 - 0.833 | 0.694 - 0.92 | 2.778% | -0.72% | |
| MARC | 0.8 | 0.788 | 0.738 - 0.788 | 0.738 - 0.832 | -6.243% | -0.635% | |
| FFI | 6.02 | 6.02 | 6.0 - 6.02 | 6.0 - 6.02 | -0.332% | -0.332% | |
| SMC | 104.3 | 104.733 | 99.833 - 104.733 | 99.833 - 109.3 | -4.679% | -0.318% | |
| BC | 4.2 | 4.263 | 4.203 - 4.312 | 4.157 - 4.364 | -0.235% | -0.098% | |
| MJIC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 - 1.0 | 1.0 - 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| FJPB | 1.56 | 1.56 | 1.56 - 1.56 | 1.56 - 1.56 | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| AAA | 1.61 | 1.61 | 1.61 - 1.61 | 1.61 - 1.61 | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| DNA | 2.86 | 2.86 | 2.86 - 2.86 | 2.86 - 2.86 | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| DTEL | 10.26 | 10.26 | 10.26 - 10.26 | 10.26 - 10.26 | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| SRDC | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 - 0.8 | 0.8 - 0.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| MJC | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.27 - 1.27 | 1.27 - 1.27 | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| ROX | 0.65 | 0.65 | 0.65 - 0.65 | 0.65 - 0.65 | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| CIP | 161.5 | 161.5 | 161.5 - 161.5 | 161.5 - 161.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| BLFI | 3.16 | 3.16 | 3.16 - 3.16 | 3.16 - 3.16 | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| IS | 0.144 | 0.144 | 0.144 - 0.144 | 0.144 - 0.144 | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| AR | 0.005 | 0.005 | 0.005 - 0.005 | 0.005 - 0.005 | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| HLCM | 3.87 | 3.87 | 3.87 - 3.87 | 3.87 - 3.87 | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| MAHB | 0.51 | 0.51 | 0.51 - 0.51 | 0.51 - 0.51 | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| EG | 0.009 | 0.009 | 0.009 - 0.009 | 0.009 - 0.009 | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| CYBR | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 - 0.33 | 0.33 - 0.33 | 0.0% | 0.0% |